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Forecast DataEorecast.Data Prm ous Fcyreca" st from Iwq t T P(D Forecast Air Operations -------------- ------ Forecast Based Aircraft 2003 2008 2013 2018 ------------------------------------------- 2003 2008 20 --------------------- A r Ta-A 6,720 ; 7,056 ; 7,409 ; 7,779 -----------------------i--------------- L-------------- L--------------- j----------------- ------------------------------------ Single -Engine 65 72 G/A Local 15,410 L 16,951 L 18,646 20,511 -------------------------- Multi -Engine 9 ; -------- 12 ------------ G/A Itinerant 15,630 ; 17,964 ; 20,646 ; 23,728 -----------------------=---------------=--------------=--------------- Jet 0 ; 0 =---------------- Military 109 ; 119 ; 130 ; 141 Glider 3 ---------- r 3 Total 37,869 ; 42,089 ; 46,830 ; 52,159 --------------------------------------------------------------- - Helicopter 1 ; 1 ------------------------------------ ----------------------- Total 78 : 88 : Based Aircraft 2010 ------------------------------------ Operations from FAA 5010 Data far 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------- Single-Engine -------------------------------------------------- 56 Air Carrier ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 0 Multi-Engine ------------------------------------ t-------------- 4 Air Taxi ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------- 6,400 Jet 0 General Aviation Local 18.000 Glider ------------------------------------ T-------------- 0 General Aviation Itinerant ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15,000 Helicopter ------------------------------------ --------------- 7 Military ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2,000 Ultra-Light 1 Total 41,400 Forec,mstins >T%tboi Major Forecasting Methods Applicable to Kalispell City Airport • Market Share Forecasting ✓ Calculated from a larger forecast (such as a State forecast) which has already been developed. ✓ Used where there are data limitations (for instance at a non -towered airport) • Time Series Modeling ✓ Extrapolate existing data into the future based upon current of past trends. �• • •- a•• •••A • � .O ADS 3000AcousticAircraft Counter Stelling Engineers is currently counting operations at Kalispell City Airport utilizing an acoustic aircraft counter made by Wilderness Systems &Technologies. The information from the actual aircraft counts will be utilized in a Time Series Model to forecast future Operations at Kalispell City Airport. This data will also be compared to a Market Share Forecast. Kalispell City Airport Master Plan Update -Open House January i8, aoti